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Denver Nuggets – New Jersey Nets
Pick: Denver (-8.5)
Odds: 1.962
Bookie: Pinnacle
Stake: 8/10

Nuggets have their best player and early season MVP candidate Marcus Camby back in their lineup tonight and all you need to do to see how valuable he is to his team is read some of George Karl’s statements. Karl, not known for giving compliments couldn’t resist this time and apparently fell in love with his 6’11’’ center. One can hardly blame him, after all Camby is the leading rebounder and second in blocked shots in the NBA, and is the Nuggets’ second-best scorer with amazing (for him) 17 ppg. But of course Denver is not all-Camby, Carmelo is bound for a career-year, K-Mart is putting his knee injury behind him (started last two games) and will be eager to give more than 100% against his former team, and i can’t even imagine how Nets’ guards feel about the fact that they’ll have to chase Earl Boykins through the mile-high city on the second night of back-2-back. Plus they played overtime last night in LA, and logged more minutes than usually cause the entire New Jersey frontcourt was in foul-trouble forcing Lawrence Frank to play some small-ball.

Denver only failed to cover the spread once this season (6-1 ATS at home) in their arena, while New Jersey managed to get only two away wins (at Toronto, and last night at LA Lakers). Let’s get back to that game in LA, cause Nets needed OT to defeat Kobe +11 guys even after Lakers opened the game shooting 0/10 from the field. They really didn’t look like a good team in that one, they do have their superstar trio, but it seems like something’s really wrong with the Nets. It’s probably because of their long Western conference swing, but no matter what’s causing their problems, i doubt they can be solved in the mile high city.

Key Factor: The last game of a long road trip usually means a loss, if it’s played in Denver (a difficult place to run because of altitude) against the up-tempo Nuggets it only gets worse.


co w y na to ??
Potrzebuje sklecic jakiegos dubelka na dzis


i mysle o typ w gorze typku i

Golden State Warriors - New Orleans/Oklahoma Hornets

Warriors are rightfully the favourites here, but +8?
New Orleans aren't going to roll over tonight, they've shown so far that they can be a respectable team, even on the road, where they are 3-3(6-6 overall).
Hornets' backcourt has been rather stabile in consecutive games, and I don't see a reason why GSW are a 1.25 favourite here. They're not exactly contenders, and New Orleans are definitely not easy to beat.
Actually the rebounding battle should be more than tied, with a slight edge going to NO, since they do have a more frequent control of the boards than the streaky Warriors.
Warriors have shown they can blast anyone on a given night (beating Toronto 117-91) but Hornets' team structure is whole lot different than the Raptors' one.
Against the Raptors, the Warriors shot 57 percent (47-of-83) from the floor and held a 45-36 rebounding advantage; but this will be a different game, I don't see either of the two exceeding the century mark, and New Orleans should at least cover, even candidating for a win until the late 4th.
Baron Davis will be playing against his old teammates, and should be extra motivated, but Hornets are no pushovers, lead by rookie Chris Paul (17.0 PPG, 5.7 RPG, 6.8 APG, 2.00 SPG), one of the most versatile guards in the league.
Speedy Claxton should be able to run with GSW guards(Davis, and forward David West's posture will help in the inside battle. P.J. Brown and Troy Murphy will have an interesting clash and all indicators show this won't be an easy game for the Warriors (West is averaging 24.3 points and 8.8 rebounds over his last four games while shooting 59 percent (39-of-66) from the floor).
I just can't see them repeating one more 110+ scoring night, and am quite confident New Orleans will cover.
Interesting fact: Golden State is just 3-11 in the series between the teams over the past six seasons.

Hornets (+8 ) (2.00 @ Pinnacle) 7 units


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